Hashrate Index Roundup (June 30, 2025)

Hello world, happy Monday!

TLDR

A green bag for this week's update: Bitcoin is up, hashrate is up, difficulty is down, fees are flat; hashprice is up.

Over the past week, miners collected a total of ~3,013 BTC in block rewards, equivalent to ~$323 million. Transaction fees constituted 1.11% of block rewards totalling 35 BTC, equivalent to ~$3.62 million.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin trended up throughout the past week, increasing by 2.04% from ~105,019 to a current price of ~$107,160. Year-to-date performance stands at +14.66%.

Hashprice

USD hashprice increased by 9.61% from $53.08 per PH/s/Day to a current $58.18 per PH/s/Day.

BTC hashprice increased by 7.87% from 0.00050338 BTC per PH/s/Day to 0.00054299 BTC per PH/s/Day.

Hashrate & Difficulty

Network hashrate rose by 3.92%, with the 7-day simple moving average (SMA) moving from 842EH/s to 875EH/s. The 30-day SMA currently stands at 887 EH/s.

The latest difficulty adjustment took place yesterday on June 29, decreasing network difficulty by a whopping 7.48% to 116.96T.

Blocks were found at an average time of around 8 minutes 51 seconds over the past 24 hours.

We currently estimate* an increase of ~12.01% for the upcoming adjustment, expected to occur on July 11.

*This estimate should be taken with a grain of salt given that we are so early into a difficulty epoch. Early on, difficulty predictions are relatively shaky because of short-term variance. However, as time (or blocks) pass, the noise fades and the signal sharpens.

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Transaction Fees

Over the past week, miners collected an average of 0.0351 BTC (per block per day) in transaction fees, compared to the prior week's 0.0392 BTC, a 10% decrease.

Our transaction fee projection models remain bearish. For this week, the ARMA estimates 0.05 BTC per block per day and the VAR model projects 0.02 BTC per block per day.

Looking Forward

For this week's Hashrate Forward Market update, the forward market is pricing in an average hashprice of $55.50 or 0.00051 BTC over the next six months.

Bitcoin Mining Stocks

Bitcoin mining stock trends were up bigly throughout the past week, reflecting a 14.70% increase in our Bitcoin Mining Stock Index.

5-day changes to Bitcoin mining stocks as of last week's market close:

• BTDR: $11.48 (+2.96%) | Mkt Cap: $2.26B
• BITF: $0.83 (+5.06%) | Mkt Cap: $0.46B
• CIFR: $4.78 (+30.96%) | Mkt Cap: $1.60B
• CLSK: $11.00 (+21.55%) | Mkt Cap: $3.10B
• CORZ: $17.04 (+48.17%) | Mkt Cap: $5.08B
• HIVE: $1.80 (+2.86%) | Mkt Cap: $0.36B
• HUT: $18.60 (+13.69%) | Mkt Cap: $1.94B
• IREN: $14.56 (+31.53%) | Mkt Cap: $3.27B
• MARA: $15.66 (+7.85%) | Mkt Cap: $5.52B
• RIOT: $11.29 (+19.60%) | Mkt Cap: $4.04B
• WULF: $4.37 (+19.40%) | Mkt Cap: $1.68B
• FUFU: $3.21 (-0.62%) | Mkt Cap: $0.53B
• CAN: $0.62 (+0.00%) | Mkt Cap: $0.26B
• GREE: $1.30 (+7.44%) | Mkt Cap: $0.02B
• SLNH: $0.57 (+3.64%) | Mkt Cap: $0.02B

Have a great week, and Happy Hashing!

Footnotes

1. As of June 30, 2025 UTC 21:00. Values are subject to change.
2. Luxor estimates the adjustment date using average block times and blocks remaining in the epoch. Values are subject to change.
3. Luxor estimates the difficulty adjustment using average block times. Values are subject to change.