Hashrate Index Roundup (December 02, 2024)

Where will Bitcoin go in the final stretch of 2024?

Kaan Farahani

Hello world, happy Monday!

Bitcoin trended slightly flat throughout the past week, decreasing by 2.25% from ~$97,800 to a current price of ~$95,600. Price action seems to have calmed down since last week, a local trough of $92,500 was marked on November 27th before a gradual climb back up. Bitcoin continues to flirt with the psychologically significant $100,000 mark. Year-to-date performance stands at 116.30%.

Hashprice continues to remain healthy with a slight uptrend, rising by 3.82% from $59.70 per PH/s/Day to a current $61.98 per PH/s/Day.

Luxor bitcoin mining hashprice
Bitcoin USD hashprice | 1-week view (November 25, 2024 - December 02, 2024)

Beyond price action in Bitcoin and hashprice, global network hashrate had a modest decline of 2.49%, with the 7-day simple moving average (SMA) moving from 763EH/s down to 744EH/s. The 30-day SMA currently stands at 739 EH/s.

Bitcoin network hashrate
Bitcoin 7-day (SMA) hashrate | 1-week view (November 25, 2024 - December 02, 2024)

Blocks were found at an average time of around 9 minutes 50 seconds throughout the week, a slight slowdown in pace as compared to the week prior at 9 minutes 36 seconds. A 1.50% upward adjustment in difficulty took place earlier this morning. We estimate a decrease of ~3.49% for the upcoming adjustment, expected to occur on December 16th.


Sponsored by Luxor Firmware

At $62 per PH/s/Day, hashprice is close to – or at – breakeven for many miners depending on operating cost and machine model type. Improve the hashrate and efficiency of your S19 and S21 series rigs by downloading LuxOS firmware today!


Hashrate Forwards Market

For this week's Hashrate Forwards market update, both USD and BTC contracts are trading in backwardation. The hashrate forward market is pricing in an average hashprice of $57.77 (0.00053 BTC) over the next six months.

Luxor hashrate forward curve (05 August 2024)

Hashprice

Luxor USD Hashprice
Luxor BTC Hashprice

Hashprice Constituents

Bitcoin Price

Luxor Bitcoin price

Network Difficulty

Luxor Bitcoin Network Difficulty

Transaction Fees

Luxor Bitcoin Transaction Fees

Block Subsidy

Luxor Bitcoin Block Subsidy

Footnotes

  1. As at December 02, 2024 UTC 14:00. Values are subject to change.
  2. Luxor estimates the adjustment date using average block times and blocks remaining in the epoch. Values are subject to change.
  3. Luxor estimates the difficulty adjustment using average block times. Values are subject to change.

Bitcoin Mining Market Update

An upward trend for this week's update. Hashprice is healthy, hashrate remains steady, network difficulty continues to increase. Miners collected a total of ~3,303 BTC in block rewards, equivalent to ~$315.24 million. Transaction fees constituted 2.96% of block rewards totalling 97 BTC, equivalent to ~$9.26 million.

Bitcoin hasprice, hashrate, difficulty, ASIC prices, difficulty, halving estimate, and transaction fees | August 05, 2024 | Source: Hashrate Index, Luxor ASIC Trading Desk
Bitcoin hashprice, hashrate, ASIC prices, difficulty, mining rewards, and transaction fees | December 02, 2024 | Source: Hashrate Index, Luxor ASIC Trading Desk, CoinMetrics

Bitcoin Transaction Fee Update

Over the past week, Bitcoin miners collected an average of 0.1065 BTC (per block, per day) in transaction fees compared to the prior week's 0.1160 BTC, an 8.23% decrease.

Luxor Bitcoin transaction fees August 12, 2024
Average bitcoin transaction fees per block per day, 1-month view (November 02 - December 02, 2024)

Our transaction fee projection models have turned relatively bearish. For this week, our VAR model forecasts 0.09 BTC per block per day and the ARMA estimates 0.14 BTC per block per day.

Luxor Bitcoin transaction fees forecast

Bitcoin Mining News

Here are the latest top headlines for Bitcoin mining news:


Bitcoin Mining Stocks Update

Bitcoin mining stocks trended flat throughout the past week, reflecting a 6.86% increase in our Bitcoin Mining Stock Index.

5-day changes to Bitcoin mining stocks as of last week's market close:

  • BTDR: $14.27 (+31.52%) | Mkt Cap: $1.70B
  • BITF: $2.15 (+5.39%) | Mkt Cap: $0.93B
  • CIFR: $6.70 (+10.93%) | Mkt Cap: $1.96B
  • CLSK: $14.35 (+9.49%) | Mkt Cap: $3.58B
  • CORZ: $17.88 (+2.52%) | Mkt Cap: $4.78B
  • HIVE: $4.08 (+3.29%) | Mkt Cap: $0.53B
  • HUT: $28.02 (+21.51%) | Mkt Cap: $2.28B
  • IREN: $13.51 (+39.57%) | Mkt Cap: $1.81B
  • MARA: $26.03 (+31.46%) | Mkt Cap: $8.38B
  • RIOT: $12.65 (+9.71%) | Mkt Cap: $4.11B
  • WULF: $7.89 (+15.69%) | Mkt Cap: $2.79B
  • FUFU: $5.46 (+6.85%) | Mkt Cap: $0.85B
  • CAN: $2.12 (+17.78%) | Mkt Cap: $0.52B

Have a great week, and Happy Hashing!

Hashrate Index Newsletter